Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Evans 52.6% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 79.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Jenner
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
54.4% (824)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
66.7% (9)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
48.1% (289)
+10.7%
On power play, Evans has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Jenner is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Jenner shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Jenner
Evans
Home
45.7% (81)
55.1% (541)
Away
54.8% (124)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Jenner
Evans
P1
46.6%
51.8%
P2
58.3%
53.3%
P3
50.0%
53.8%
OT
0.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
43.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.9%