Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 18 meetings). Jenner wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Evans 52.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 87.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 61.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 64.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Jenner
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
15
(40 meetings)
25
15
Jenner
Evans
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
17
1
Jenner
Evans
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
10
Jenner
Evans
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
4
Jenner
Evans
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
53.7% (3,740)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
60.6% (71)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
47.1% (1,228)
+1.3%
On power play, Evans has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Jenner is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,168).
Jenner shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Jenner
Evans
Home
54.5% (4,073)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Jenner
Evans
P1
53.6%
54.0%
P2
53.6%
50.9%
P3
54.5%
52.0%
OT
54.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |