Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 65.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 59.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 50.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Jenner
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Jenner
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
52.5% (570)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
54.5% (145)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
44.4% (36)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Jenner is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Jenner shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Jenner
Pavelski
Home
53.2% (609)
55.0% (391)
Away
54.0% (589)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Jenner
Pavelski
P1
49.7%
50.8%
P2
53.6%
55.0%
P3
56.5%
52.0%
OT
65.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |