Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 61.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 55.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Jenner
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jenner
Pavelski
Last 5: Jenner 3-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Jenner
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
52.3% (560)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
57.5% (113)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
62.5% (16)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Jenner
Pavelski
Home
56.7% (693)
54.2% (360)
Away
52.7% (693)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Jenner
Pavelski
P1
57.1%
54.5%
P2
54.1%
56.7%
P3
53.0%
50.8%
OT
61.9%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |