Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 67.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Jenner
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jenner
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
52.9% (870)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
53.5% (43)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
46.2% (143)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jenner is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Jenner shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zibanejad
Home
45.7% (81)
55.1% (501)
Away
54.8% (124)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Jenner
Zibanejad
P1
46.6%
57.5%
P2
58.3%
50.7%
P3
50.0%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |