Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.0%). Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 53.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 59.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Jenner
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Jenner
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
53.3% (807)
-2.0%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
47.6% (42)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
46.3% (147)
+3.7%
On power play, Jenner has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zibanejad
Home
52.7% (165)
49.8% (466)
Away
50.0% (144)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Jenner
Zibanejad
P1
49.0%
52.9%
P2
45.0%
51.2%
P3
59.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |