Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (55% H2H, 47 meetings). Jenner wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 78-67 in 145 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 54.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Jenner
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
78
(145 meetings)
67
78
Jenner
Zibanejad
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
27
29
Jenner
Zibanejad
56 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
19
23
Jenner
Zibanejad
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
21
26
Jenner
Zibanejad
47 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
50.9% (11,756)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
52.2% (1,852)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
41.6% (1,796)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jenner is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,168).
Jenner shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zibanejad
Home
54.5% (4,073)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Jenner
Zibanejad
P1
53.6%
50.4%
P2
53.6%
49.7%
P3
54.5%
49.9%
OT
54.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 12, 2023 | OT | 00:21 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |