Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Carrick 49.5% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 57.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 58.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Jenner
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
48.9% (352)
+5.2%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
81.3% (16)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
42.2% (45)
+8.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Jenner is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Jenner shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Jenner
Carrick
Home
53.2% (609)
46.9% (192)
Away
54.0% (589)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Jenner
Carrick
P1
49.7%
48.1%
P2
53.6%
50.0%
P3
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%