Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Jenner wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Carrick 52.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 70.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 72.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Jenner
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Jenner
Carrick
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
8
1
Jenner
Carrick
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
8
Jenner
Carrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
4
Jenner
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
52.2% (2,544)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
61.3% (75)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
50.8% (435)
-2.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Jenner is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,168).
Jenner shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Jenner
Carrick
Home
54.5% (4,073)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Jenner
Carrick
P1
53.6%
51.8%
P2
53.6%
52.3%
P3
54.5%
52.6%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |