Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Carrick 54.2% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 72.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 50.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Jenner
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
55.5% (470)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
66.7% (3)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
50.0% (58)
+0.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Jenner
Carrick
Home
52.7% (165)
58.6% (261)
Away
50.0% (144)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Jenner
Carrick
P1
49.0%
55.9%
P2
45.0%
53.5%
P3
59.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%