Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Tavares 57.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 84.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 67.4%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 58.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Tkachuk
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tkachuk
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Tkachuk
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
57.5% (914)
-10.0%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
60.5% (309)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
59.1% (22)
-46.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Tavares
Home
49.9% (389)
61.0% (661)
Away
46.8% (376)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Tkachuk
Tavares
P1
44.4%
58.6%
P2
51.8%
57.8%
P3
47.8%
58.4%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
48.4%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |