Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Coyle 52.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 82.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Point
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Point
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Point
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
52.7% (849)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
66.7% (39)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.1% (131)
+1.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Point
Coyle
Home
53.3% (394)
53.3% (512)
Away
48.4% (428)
51.9% (507)
By Period
Point
Coyle
P1
49.8%
53.8%
P2
53.0%
47.8%
P3
49.6%
56.7%
OT
44.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Brayden Point |