Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.8% vs Coyle 50.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 82.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 78.0%
Neutral zone
Point 53.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Point
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Point
Coyle
Last 5: Point 2-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Point
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (303)
51.6% (612)
-6.7%
Power Play
51.4% (72)
42.6% (47)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.6% (146)
-46.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Point is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Point shoots right. Coyle is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Point
Coyle
Home
44.8% (181)
47.5% (394)
Away
46.9% (196)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Point
Coyle
P1
46.2%
49.6%
P2
41.4%
48.9%
P3
51.2%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.9%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Brayden Point |