Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Coyle 50.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 82.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 78.6%
Neutral zone
Point 54.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Point
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Point
Coyle
Last 5: Point 2-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Point
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
52.3% (853)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
44.4% (63)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.5% (191)
-24.5%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Point is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Point shoots right. Coyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Point
Coyle
Home
46.6% (264)
49.0% (567)
Away
46.4% (302)
52.0% (540)
By Period
Point
Coyle
P1
46.3%
49.5%
P2
45.5%
49.4%
P3
48.6%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Brayden Point |