Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.8%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Coyle 48.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Point leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 67.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 73.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 51.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Point
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Point
Coyle
Last 10: Point 3-7 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
9
1
Point
Coyle
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
8
Point
Coyle
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
9
6
Point
Coyle
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
49.4% (7,898)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
50.0% (794)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
43.5% (1,100)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,074).
Point shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Home / Away
Point
Coyle
Home
49.0% (3,754)
49.8% (4,865)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
47.9% (4,927)
By Period
Point
Coyle
P1
46.8%
49.5%
P2
51.3%
48.3%
P3
48.0%
48.8%
OT
52.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2022 | OT | 00:12 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |