Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.7%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Coyle 48.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Point leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 71.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 67.9%
Neutral zone
Point 51.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Point
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Point
Coyle
Last 10: Point 3-7 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
9
1
Point
Coyle
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
8
Point
Coyle
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
9
6
Point
Coyle
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,051)
49.3% (7,657)
-1.0%
Power Play
54.2% (1,010)
50.0% (778)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (244)
43.8% (1,055)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,040).
Point shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Point
Coyle
Home
49.0% (3,671)
49.7% (4,692)
Away
48.6% (3,634)
47.9% (4,798)
By Period
Point
Coyle
P1
46.9%
49.5%
P2
51.2%
48.2%
P3
48.1%
48.6%
OT
52.5%
49.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2022 | OT | 00:12 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 8, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |