Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Coyle 51.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 50.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 79.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 63.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Schenn
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schenn
Coyle
Last 6: Schenn 5-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
53.0% (1,046)
-5.4%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
57.6% (144)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
43.6% (287)
+4.1%
On even strength, Coyle has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Schenn is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Schenn shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Home / Away
Schenn
Coyle
Home
55.6% (453)
54.5% (719)
Away
43.3% (467)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Schenn
Coyle
P1
48.4%
51.1%
P2
50.3%
50.0%
P3
50.8%
53.3%
OT
22.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
49.3%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |