Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Schenn wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.5% vs Coyle 50.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 78.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 65.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 59.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Schenn
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Schenn
Coyle
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
5
1
Schenn
Coyle
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Schenn
Coyle
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
4
Schenn
Coyle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (505)
51.6% (612)
-0.3%
Power Play
63.6% (99)
42.6% (47)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
77.8% (18)
46.6% (146)
+31.2%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Schenn is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Schenn shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Home / Away
Schenn
Coyle
Home
53.8% (331)
47.5% (394)
Away
54.3% (291)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Schenn
Coyle
P1
47.6%
49.6%
P2
52.7%
48.9%
P3
60.3%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.0%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |