Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Coyle 48.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 63.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 71.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Schenn
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Schenn
Coyle
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
0
Schenn
Coyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
7
Schenn
Coyle
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
4
Schenn
Coyle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
49.5% (576)
+2.7%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
54.2% (48)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
43.4% (145)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Schenn
Coyle
Home
51.1% (575)
47.4% (409)
Away
53.4% (607)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Schenn
Coyle
P1
51.4%
50.8%
P2
52.7%
46.0%
P3
52.7%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
52.3%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |