Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs McDavid 51.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 52.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Schenn
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schenn
McDavid
Last 6: Schenn 5-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
51.6% (803)
-4.0%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
50.0% (40)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
36.4% (22)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Schenn
McDavid
Home
55.6% (453)
51.8% (415)
Away
43.3% (467)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Schenn
McDavid
P1
48.4%
47.5%
P2
50.3%
51.6%
P3
50.8%
55.5%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.3%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |