Brayden Schenn vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 47.8%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs McDavid 47.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 30-16 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 55.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 53.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 58.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Schenn
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
16
(46 meetings)
30
16
Schenn
McDavid
Last 10: Schenn 7-3 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
13
2
Schenn
McDavid
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
8
4
Schenn
McDavid
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
9
10
Schenn
McDavid
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
47.7% (8,394)
+0.3%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
52.1% (374)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
43.8% (281)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,707).
Schenn shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Schenn
McDavid
Home
49.7% (5,075)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Schenn
McDavid
P1
48.8%
46.5%
P2
48.6%
48.7%
P3
48.3%
48.3%
OT
50.9%
42.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |