Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Staal 56.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 69.6%
Defensive zone
Schenn 68.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 70.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Schenn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Schenn
Staal
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Schenn
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Schenn
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Schenn
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
58.9% (1,041)
-10.2%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
53.4% (73)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
49.1% (171)
-9.1%
On power play, Schenn has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Schenn
Staal
Home
49.0% (286)
59.0% (578)
Away
49.1% (293)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Schenn
Staal
P1
47.7%
57.1%
P2
48.7%
60.9%
P3
51.4%
55.8%
OT
25.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
46.4%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.1%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |