Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 75-52 in 127 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 83.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 86.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 86.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Schenn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
75
(127 meetings)
52
75
Schenn
Staal
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
25
14
Schenn
Staal
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
31
Schenn
Staal
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
20
30
Schenn
Staal
50 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
55.9% (14,654)
-7.9%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
62.7% (1,762)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
47.9% (2,907)
+0.3%
On power play, Staal has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,707).
Schenn shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Schenn
Staal
Home
49.7% (5,075)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Schenn
Staal
P1
48.8%
55.2%
P2
48.6%
55.9%
P3
48.3%
54.8%
OT
50.9%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |