Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Staal 54.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Schenn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Schenn
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
56.2% (989)
-4.7%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
66.0% (159)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
42.7% (253)
+24.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Schenn shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Schenn
Staal
Home
53.9% (412)
55.4% (699)
Away
53.3% (375)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Schenn
Staal
P1
49.6%
55.7%
P2
52.0%
54.7%
P3
58.1%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |