Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Nosek 58.0% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 86.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 70.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 56.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Schenn
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schenn
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Schenn
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
59.7% (469)
-14.1%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
100.0% (4)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
56.5% (124)
-10.4%
On power play, Nosek has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nosek
Home
46.8% (494)
59.0% (295)
Away
46.3% (520)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Schenn
Nosek
P1
50.3%
56.3%
P2
47.0%
61.9%
P3
42.2%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.5%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |