Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 79.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 52.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 58.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Schenn
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Schenn
Nosek
Last 10: Schenn 1-9 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
3
Schenn
Nosek
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
10
Schenn
Nosek
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
6
3
Schenn
Nosek
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
54.9% (2,710)
-6.9%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
45.8% (48)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
47.2% (428)
+1.0%
On power play, Schenn has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,707).
Schenn shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nosek
Home
49.7% (5,075)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Schenn
Nosek
P1
48.8%
52.2%
P2
48.6%
54.1%
P3
48.3%
54.7%
OT
50.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |