Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Nosek 48.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 63.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 67.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 60.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Schenn
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Schenn
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Schenn
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Schenn
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
52.0% (102)
-0.5%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
100.0% (2)
-36.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
29.0% (31)
+37.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Schenn shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nosek
Home
53.9% (412)
52.0% (50)
Away
53.3% (375)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Schenn
Nosek
P1
49.6%
45.0%
P2
52.0%
42.0%
P3
58.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |