Brett Howden vs Brock Nelson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.3%). Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Howden 48.9% vs Nelson 48.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor Nelson leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 57.1%
Defensive zone Howden 59.7%
Neutral zone Howden 55.0%
Result Brett Howden favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Howden Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
15 - 16 (31 meetings)
15
16
Howden Nelson
Last 10: Howden 5-5 Nelson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
5
4
Howden Nelson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
5
Howden Nelson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
6
7
Howden Nelson
13 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Howden
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
47.9% (9,744)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
54.7% (1,149)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
43.8% (790)
-0.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +4.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Home / Away
Howden
Nelson
Home
48.2% (1,630)
50.1% (5,878)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
46.5% (5,806)
By Period
Howden
Nelson
P1
49.5%
48.7%
P2
47.9%
48.6%
P3
49.8%
47.7%
OT
35.5%
45.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%
45.0%
48.9%
Nelson
56.0%
55.5%
48.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 27, 2025 2 11:36 Neutral Brett Howden
Dec 27, 2025 1 01:36 Offensive Brett Howden
Oct 31, 2025 3 18:22 Neutral Brock Nelson
Oct 31, 2025 3 12:59 Defensive Brock Nelson
Oct 31, 2025 2 18:41 Offensive Brett Howden
Oct 31, 2025 2 12:53 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 6, 2024 1 02:50 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 28, 2023 2 13:17 Neutral Brett Howden
Jan 28, 2023 2 09:14 Defensive Brett Howden
Jan 28, 2023 2 06:19 Neutral Brock Nelson
Dec 19, 2021 2 03:45 Offensive Brock Nelson
Oct 24, 2021 1 03:24 Defensive Brock Nelson
Apr 29, 2021 3 16:40 Neutral Brett Howden
Feb 8, 2021 2 12:48 Neutral Brett Howden
Jan 16, 2021 3 15:56 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 16, 2021 2 13:48 Defensive Brock Nelson
Jan 14, 2021 3 18:33 Offensive Brock Nelson
Jan 14, 2021 3 08:45 Neutral Brock Nelson
Jan 14, 2021 2 16:25 Offensive Brett Howden
Jan 14, 2021 2 13:24 Defensive Brett Howden