Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Sturm 57.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 73.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 50.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 56.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Howden
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Howden
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
62.1% (356)
-8.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
75.0% (4)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
38.7% (62)
+9.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Howden
Sturm
Home
48.8% (258)
61.8% (191)
Away
56.6% (258)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Howden
Sturm
P1
54.0%
58.0%
P2
53.2%
57.9%
P3
50.9%
60.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |