Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Zacha 54.4% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 76.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 71.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Howden
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Howden
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
53.9% (787)
-6.6%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
63.2% (193)
-41.0%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
44.3% (88)
-18.4%
On power play, Zacha has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Howden
Zacha
Home
44.3% (176)
56.7% (538)
Away
45.8% (190)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Howden
Zacha
P1
43.1%
52.6%
P2
43.1%
54.8%
P3
48.1%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
45.1%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Brett Howden |