Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.2%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Zacha 49.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 66.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 60.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Howden
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Howden
Zacha
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
5
Howden
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
5
Howden
Zacha
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Howden
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
48.9% (5,156)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
55.7% (813)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
42.2% (557)
+0.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Howden
Zacha
Home
48.2% (1,630)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Howden
Zacha
P1
49.5%
49.9%
P2
47.9%
49.2%
P3
49.8%
48.2%
OT
35.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Brett Howden |