Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Zacha 51.8% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Howden 54.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Howden
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
53.0% (700)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
54.1% (109)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
39.2% (74)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Howden shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Howden
Zacha
Home
46.5% (217)
51.6% (438)
Away
52.7% (237)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Howden
Zacha
P1
51.4%
57.0%
P2
51.6%
48.9%
P3
48.5%
50.5%
OT
26.7%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%