Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.4%). Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Aho 51.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 64.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 57.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Howden
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Howden
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
48.5% (778)
+4.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
63.4% (191)
-30.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
50.8% (65)
-30.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Howden
Aho
Home
55.2% (96)
51.3% (530)
Away
48.9% (131)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Howden
Aho
P1
42.0%
50.0%
P2
55.8%
51.3%
P3
55.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
51.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |