Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Aho 51.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 65.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 73.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 59.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Howden
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Howden
Aho
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
6
Howden
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
50.2% (6,646)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
58.9% (1,310)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
46.5% (465)
-3.4%
On power play, Aho has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Howden
Aho
Home
48.2% (1,630)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Howden
Aho
P1
49.5%
51.1%
P2
47.9%
52.1%
P3
49.8%
50.8%
OT
35.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:48 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |