Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.5%). Howden wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Aho 50.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 58.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 72.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 54.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Howden
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Howden
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
50.5% (878)
-0.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
53.5% (144)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
44.3% (61)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Howden shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Howden
Aho
Home
46.5% (217)
53.8% (571)
Away
52.7% (237)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Howden
Aho
P1
51.4%
49.0%
P2
51.6%
51.7%
P3
48.5%
50.3%
OT
26.7%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |