Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 56.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Howden
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Howden
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Howden
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Howden
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
51.2% (469)
+2.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
42.9% (21)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
37.5% (48)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Howden
Gourde
Home
48.8% (258)
47.8% (301)
Away
56.6% (258)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Howden
Gourde
P1
54.0%
47.3%
P2
53.2%
53.4%
P3
50.9%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |