Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.3%). Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Gourde 48.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 52.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Howden
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Howden
Gourde
Last 10: Howden 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
4
Howden
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,882)
48.5% (4,763)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (104)
57.5% (367)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (310)
39.9% (534)
+3.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,137).
Howden shoots left. Gourde is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,791).
Home / Away
Howden
Gourde
Home
48.4% (1,587)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
49.6% (1,709)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Howden
Gourde
P1
49.7%
50.4%
P2
47.7%
47.2%
P3
49.9%
47.2%
OT
39.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |