Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Howden 66.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 60.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Howden
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
47.2% (687)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
45.0% (20)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
33.0% (88)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Howden shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Howden
Gourde
Home
46.5% (217)
44.4% (356)
Away
52.7% (237)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Howden
Gourde
P1
51.4%
42.2%
P2
51.6%
50.0%
P3
48.5%
44.5%
OT
26.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%