Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Giroux 57.3% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 59.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 85.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 64.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Nelson
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
55.5% (661)
-9.4%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
65.5% (194)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
58.6% (297)
-28.2%
On power play, Giroux has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Home / Away
Nelson
Giroux
Home
48.7% (419)
59.0% (576)
Away
41.3% (368)
56.9% (576)
By Period
Nelson
Giroux
P1
44.6%
57.0%
P2
47.3%
58.1%
P3
43.0%
58.9%
OT
100.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
39.4%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
45.2%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |