Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Malkin 45.0% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 56.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Nelson
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
44.0% (366)
+5.9%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
30.0% (10)
+22.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Nelson
Malkin
Home
49.8% (458)
45.5% (202)
Away
49.0% (506)
41.4% (174)
By Period
Nelson
Malkin
P1
50.1%
48.4%
P2
45.4%
41.7%
P3
52.7%
40.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.6%