Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Danforth 47.8% (+16.5%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 61.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Nelson
Danforth
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
40.0% (10)
+6.9%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
0.0% (2)
+57.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Danforth is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Nelson
Danforth
Home
48.9% (521)
33.3% (3)
Away
45.5% (516)
30.0% (10)
By Period
Nelson
Danforth
P1
45.9%
33.3%
P2
48.0%
14.3%
P3
48.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.3%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
30.8%