Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Johansson 48.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.9%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Nelson
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
0
1
Nelson
Johansson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
46.3% (41)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
25.0% (8)
+32.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
66.7% (3)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Johansson has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Johansson is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Nelson
Johansson
Home
48.9% (521)
40.9% (22)
Away
45.5% (516)
46.7% (30)
By Period
Nelson
Johansson
P1
45.9%
50.0%
P2
48.0%
45.0%
P3
48.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
47.3%
Johansson
26.0%▼
37.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |