Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Johansson 48.3% (+13.4%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 50.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 76.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Nelson
Johansson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
41.7% (12)
+9.2%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
25.0% (4)
+34.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Johansson is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Nelson
Johansson
Home
52.9% (654)
25.0% (8)
Away
48.9% (658)
50.0% (8)
By Period
Nelson
Johansson
P1
48.4%
62.5%
P2
54.3%
25.0%
P3
50.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Johansson
26.0%▼
37.0%
37.5%