Brock Nelson vs Marcus Johansson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Johansson 41.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Johansson leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansson 72.9%
Defensive zone
Johansson 73.0%
Neutral zone
Johansson 73.4%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Nelson
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Nelson
Johansson
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
4
Nelson
Johansson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson
Johansson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
5
Nelson
Johansson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
41.0% (2,523)
+6.9%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
42.3% (352)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
36.3% (80)
+7.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Johansson is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,939).
Home / Away
Nelson
Johansson
Home
50.1% (5,878)
42.7% (1,459)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
39.4% (1,520)
By Period
Nelson
Johansson
P1
48.7%
42.7%
P2
48.6%
40.4%
P3
47.7%
40.5%
OT
45.6%
28.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Johansson
26.0%▼
37.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |