Brock Nelson vs Mika Zibanejad

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 79 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor Zibanejad leads 121-101 in 222 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 51.0%
Defensive zone Zibanejad 50.7%
Neutral zone Zibanejad 51.0%
Result Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Nelson Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
101 - 121 (222 meetings)
101
121
Nelson Zibanejad
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Zibanejad

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
34
30
Nelson Zibanejad
64 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
27
52
Nelson Zibanejad
79 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
40
39
Nelson Zibanejad
79 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
50.9% (11,756)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
52.2% (1,852)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
41.6% (1,796)
+2.2%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +3.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Nelson is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (4,097).
Nelson shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Nelson
Zibanejad
Home
50.1% (5,878)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Nelson
Zibanejad
P1
48.7%
50.4%
P2
48.6%
49.7%
P3
47.7%
49.9%
OT
45.6%
48.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%
55.5%
48.3%
Zibanejad
58.0%
53.0%
50.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 6, 2025 OT 00:00 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Dec 6, 2025 3 15:26 Neutral Brock Nelson
Dec 6, 2025 3 12:58 Neutral Brock Nelson
Dec 6, 2025 3 04:23 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Dec 6, 2025 2 15:30 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Dec 6, 2025 2 11:22 Offensive Brock Nelson
Dec 6, 2025 1 18:33 Offensive Brock Nelson
Dec 6, 2025 1 18:27 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Nov 20, 2025 3 11:42 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Nov 20, 2025 2 17:15 Neutral Brock Nelson
Nov 20, 2025 2 10:43 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Nov 20, 2025 2 06:21 Offensive Brock Nelson
Nov 20, 2025 2 00:46 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Nov 20, 2025 2 00:26 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Nov 20, 2025 1 18:07 Defensive Brock Nelson
Feb 25, 2025 2 14:05 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Nov 3, 2024 3 18:07 Offensive Brock Nelson
Nov 3, 2024 3 17:53 Offensive Brock Nelson
Nov 3, 2024 2 17:18 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Nov 3, 2024 2 16:42 Defensive Brock Nelson