Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Geekie 47.7% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 65.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 77.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Nelson
Geekie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
46.7% (120)
+4.2%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
48.6% (35)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
0.0% (3)
+43.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Nelson
Geekie
Home
52.9% (654)
46.8% (77)
Away
48.9% (658)
45.7% (81)
By Period
Nelson
Geekie
P1
48.4%
42.4%
P2
54.3%
49.1%
P3
50.5%
47.6%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%