Brock Nelson vs Morgan Geekie

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.3%). Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.1% vs Geekie 48.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor Nelson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Geekie 51.1%
Defensive zone Nelson 50.1%
Neutral zone Nelson 52.0%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Nelson Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 6 (13 meetings)
7
6
Nelson Geekie
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Geekie

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Nelson Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson Geekie
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (9,510)
48.7% (2,289)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.1% (1,082)
45.9% (183)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (728)
45.7% (129)
-2.2%
On power play, Nelson has a +8.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,964).
Nelson shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Home / Away
Nelson
Geekie
Home
49.8% (5,696)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
46.4% (5,625)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Nelson
Geekie
P1
48.6%
48.4%
P2
48.4%
48.9%
P3
47.4%
47.5%
OT
46.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%
46.0%
48.1%
Geekie
42.0%
44.5%
48.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 27, 2025 2 00:36 Neutral Morgan Geekie
Dec 15, 2023 3 13:43 Offensive Brock Nelson
Dec 15, 2023 2 12:04 Defensive Morgan Geekie
Dec 15, 2023 2 09:51 Offensive Morgan Geekie
Dec 15, 2023 2 00:37 Neutral Morgan Geekie
Dec 15, 2023 1 02:32 Neutral Brock Nelson
Feb 7, 2023 2 06:26 Offensive Brock Nelson
Feb 7, 2023 1 15:30 Neutral Brock Nelson
Feb 22, 2022 2 16:28 Defensive Morgan Geekie
Feb 22, 2022 2 00:00 Neutral Morgan Geekie
Feb 22, 2022 1 00:00 Neutral Brock Nelson
Feb 2, 2022 2 06:48 Neutral Brock Nelson
Feb 2, 2022 1 17:56 Defensive Brock Nelson