Brock Nelson vs Morgan Geekie

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.4%). Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Geekie 48.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor Nelson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 50.2%
Defensive zone Nelson 51.9%
Neutral zone Nelson 52.7%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Nelson Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 6 (13 meetings)
7
6
Nelson Geekie
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Geekie

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Nelson Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson Geekie
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
48.7% (2,310)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
46.0% (189)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
45.7% (129)
-1.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +8.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Nelson is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (4,097).
Nelson shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Home / Away
Nelson
Geekie
Home
50.1% (5,878)
50.1% (1,283)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
46.8% (1,345)
By Period
Nelson
Geekie
P1
48.7%
48.6%
P2
48.6%
48.9%
P3
47.7%
47.7%
OT
45.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%
55.5%
48.3%
Geekie
46.0%
47.0%
48.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 27, 2025 2 00:36 Neutral Morgan Geekie
Dec 15, 2023 3 13:43 Offensive Brock Nelson
Dec 15, 2023 2 12:04 Defensive Morgan Geekie
Dec 15, 2023 2 09:51 Offensive Morgan Geekie
Dec 15, 2023 2 00:37 Neutral Morgan Geekie
Dec 15, 2023 1 02:32 Neutral Brock Nelson
Feb 7, 2023 2 06:26 Offensive Brock Nelson
Feb 7, 2023 1 15:30 Neutral Brock Nelson
Feb 22, 2022 2 16:28 Defensive Morgan Geekie
Feb 22, 2022 2 00:00 Neutral Morgan Geekie
Feb 22, 2022 1 00:00 Neutral Brock Nelson
Feb 2, 2022 2 06:48 Neutral Brock Nelson
Feb 2, 2022 1 17:56 Defensive Brock Nelson