Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Danault 53.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 76.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 69.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 73.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Nelson
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Nelson
Danault
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Nelson
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Nelson
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
54.0% (985)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
61.1% (131)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
43.8% (146)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Danault is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Nelson
Danault
Home
49.8% (458)
54.7% (636)
Away
49.0% (506)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Nelson
Danault
P1
50.1%
54.1%
P2
45.4%
54.3%
P3
52.7%
52.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |