Brock Nelson vs Phillip Danault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 34 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Danault 53.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 46-43 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 51.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Nelson
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
46
(89 meetings)
43
46
Nelson
Danault
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
18
14
Nelson
Danault
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
13
21
Nelson
Danault
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
12
11
Nelson
Danault
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,744)
53.6% (9,481)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.7% (1,149)
61.3% (758)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (790)
47.4% (1,710)
-3.6%
On power play, Danault has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Nelson shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Home / Away
Nelson
Danault
Home
50.1% (5,878)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
46.5% (5,806)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
Nelson
Danault
P1
48.7%
53.7%
P2
48.6%
53.4%
P3
47.7%
52.7%
OT
45.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |