Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Greig 44.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 65.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 52.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 66.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Nelson
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
38.8% (103)
+8.1%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
60.0% (5)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Greig is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Nelson
Greig
Home
48.9% (521)
37.7% (53)
Away
45.5% (516)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Nelson
Greig
P1
45.9%
41.7%
P2
48.0%
39.3%
P3
48.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
47.3%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |