Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 48.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs McLeod 48.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 57.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 64.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Nelson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Nelson
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
49.0% (500)
-2.1%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
43.8% (48)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
44.0% (50)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Nelson
McLeod
Home
48.9% (521)
50.9% (291)
Away
45.5% (516)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Nelson
McLeod
P1
45.9%
44.3%
P2
48.0%
52.4%
P3
48.0%
47.8%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.3%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |