Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs McLeod 50.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Nelson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Nelson
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
51.3% (628)
-5.2%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
68.3% (41)
-33.8%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
30.6% (49)
-0.2%
On power play, McLeod has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Nelson
McLeod
Home
48.7% (419)
51.5% (394)
Away
41.3% (368)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Nelson
McLeod
P1
44.6%
51.5%
P2
47.3%
47.0%
P3
43.0%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |